Denmark removes price cap on surplus heat – unlocking investment & Sustainability potential
Denmark removes price cap on surplus heat – unlocking investment & Sustainability potential

Insight

Denmark removes price cap on surplus heat – unlocking investment & sustainability potential

Insight

Denmark removes price cap on surplus heat – unlocking investment & sustainability potential

The Danish government, in collaboration with several political parties, has reached an agreement to remove the existing price cap on surplus heat. This initiative aims to promote a more flexible and market-driven utilisation of surplus heat, potentially lowering consumer prices and contributing to the green transition. 

When

Removing a barrier to green investment

For years, the price cap on surplus heat has been a barrier to investment in heat recovery projects. Under the previous framework, companies faced uncertainty and financial limitations, as the cap restricted the price district heating companies could pay for surplus heat. By removing this regulatory hurdle, the new agreement paves the way for a more dynamic and market-driven approach, where companies are incentivised to invest in surplus heat as a key part of Denmark’s green transition. The model requires a legislative amendment.

The agreement will take effect from 1 July 2025.

"The previous price cap discouraged businesses, particularly data centres, Power-to-X facilities, and industrial plants from investing in heat recovery infrastructure, as the business case was often undermined by the artificially low returns."

Jørn Thorgaard

Special Advisor at Invest in Denmark

Jørn Thorgaard

Tapping into Denmark’s surplus heat potential

Currently, only around 13% of Denmark’s surplus heat is utilised, leaving significant untapped potential for district heating production. Removing the price cap gives companies and district heating providers greater flexibility to invest in surplus heat projects, making it easier to integrate heat from industrial sources without the risk of regulatory uncertainty limiting investments.

The potential for surplus heat utilisation is substantial. It is estimated that up to a quarter of Denmark’s total district heating demand could be covered by surplus heat, equivalent to heating approximately 500,000 homes. In contrast, only enough heat for around 65,000 households is currently derived from surplus heat.

New conditions for surplus heat projects

The removal of the existing price cap introduces the following conditions for surplus heat projects:

  • The price for surplus heat, which the district heating company pays to the surplus heat supplier, can still be freely negotiated between the parties.

  • Costs related to surplus heat projects are no longer subject to a separate price cap but will be regulated under the consumer price cap on district heating, which took effect on 1 January 2025.

  • Additionally, the total district heating price, including costs associated with a surplus heat project, must not exceed the cost of the cheapest alternative (substitution price).

  • As before, surplus heat suppliers remain exempt from price regulation under the Heat Supply Act. This means the district heating company is responsible for including the expected costs in its price budget, submitting the budget to the Danish Utility Regulator, and conducting subsequent price verification.

Get in touch

Want to tap into the surplus heat opportunities in Denmark?

We provide free-of-charge confidential and tailor-made solutions for foreign companies looking to set up a new business in Denmark or expand an existing one. Please contact one of our experts here:

Copenhagen

  • Sarina Lohmann

    Title: Special Advisor – Maritime and transport – Analysis & Partnerships

    Area: Copenhagen

    Phone: +4533920423

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